Wine review — Howard Park, Mitchell & Balgownie Estate

Howard Park: Riesling 2007 $25; Sauvignon Blanc 2007 $25; Scotsdale/Leston Park Shirazes 2005 $40 and Cabernet Sauvignons 2005 $40; Cabernet Merlot 2004 $90
Behind Madfish, Howard Park’s wildly successful (and excellent) $15-$20-a-bottle second label, lies a rich winemaking culture, built on top-quality fruit from a number of Western Australian regions. Proprietor Jeff Burch showed the latest regional specialties – one of the strongest that I’ve seen from a single producer – on a tour through Canberra late last year.  The riesling comes from Mount Barker and Pongerups in the deep south; sauvignon blanc combines Pemberton and Margaret River material; the Scotsdale and Leston Vineyards are in Great Southern and Margaret River respectively; and the brilliant cabernet merlot is a Mount Barker Margaret River blend. These are exciting special occasion wines.

Mitchell Clare Valley Riesling 2007 $22 & Semillon 2006 $18
Andrew and Jane Mitchell’s Watervale 2007 is a fuller style riesling, perhaps influenced by a spontaneous fermentation. There’s real flavour concentration, a rich texture and a little bite to the finish. It was made in tiny quantities in 2007 – the forty-year-old vines yielded just 2.5 tonnes to the hectare – and tonnes of flavour to enjoy now. But the Mitchell’s real bargain is their delicious oak-fermented-and-matured semillon. It’s full and richly textured, with very attractive lemon-like varietal flavour and a dazzling freshness. It’s a style that the Clare does well but for some reason seems to have fallen out of fashion. See www.mitchellwines.com

Balgownie Estate Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $22
Balgownie was a leading light of the late sixties/early seventies boutique winery boom. Proprietor Stuart Anderson established vines at Bendigo in 1969 and made magnificent reds, especially shiraz. After Anderson sold Balgownie it faded from view until becoming independent again in recent years. As well as the Bendigo wines it now makes a pretty exciting pinot using fruit from independent Yarra Valley growers – as it waits for its own vines there to mature. This is the first tasted and it’s a bargain.  It offers the seductive perfume, fine-boned structure, intense flavours and silky but substantial tannins of this wonderful variety. See www.balgownieestate.com.au

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2008

Wine review — Two Hands, Leon Desfrieches & Pear Tree

Two Hands ‘Brilliant Disguise’ Barossa Moscato 2007 500ml $18
The Moscato d’Asti wines of Piedmont, Italy, have inspired a new use for white frontignac, one of the old workhorses of the Australian wine industry. The keynotes of those from Asti, and neighbouring provinces Cuneo and Alessandria (which also use the Asti appellation) is delicacy, freshness, low-alcohol (5.5 per cent), moderate sweetness and intense grapiness. Many Australian producers now emulate the style with considerable success, albeit with a slightly higher, but still modest, alcohol content. Two Hands, sourced from 80-100 year old vines, weighs in at 7 per cent alcohol. With its delicate muscat flavour, fruity sweetness and light spritz it makes a wonderful warm weather aperitif. See www.twohandswines.com

Le Pere Jules Poire de St Desir-de-Lisieux (Leon Desfrieches) 750ml  $16
Close your eyes and think, not of England, but of Normandy, just across the channel. This is fruit country. And what better way to preserve fruit than by making eau-de-vie or cider. Calvados and poire William are Normandy’s classic apple and pear brandies – offering, just like the region’s other fruit eau-de-vies, a teasing impression, or spirit, of the fruit that made them. Cider provides a more direct connection to the fruit flavour, and a drink more suited to our hot summer. This one’s as delicate, fresh and crisp as a just-ripe, just-picked pear, and offers a similar balance of sweet-fruit and tart acid. It’s just four per cent alcohol. (Sample purchased at 1st Choice, Philip).

Pear Tree Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc 2007 $24.99
In 1993 brothers Matt and Chris Farrah established Campbell Liquor Discounts. In 2004–05 they developed the Pear Tree Vineyard in the Waihopai Valley in Marlborough, New Zealand – partly through the influence of winemaker Anthony Moore, an old mate of Matt’s from the AIS. And just in time for Christmas 2007, Matt and Chris took delivery of their first sauvignon blanc, sourced from the Pear Tree vineyard and local contract growers. Made by Craig Murphy, it’s a decent debut wine in the typically bracing, in-your-face Marlborough style. It’s available at the Farrah’s Campbell store and at Pangea, Tower, Milk and Honey and Debacle Restaurants and at selected bottles shops around Canberra.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2008

Monteith’s — a treat from NZ’s west coast

Plonk’ is a postage-stamp-sized liquor store squished into the southern end of Palmerston Lane, Manuka. When I first saw it, thirty years’ liquor retailing experience rated it too small to be viable.
But it’s still going. And the racks of bottle-your-own liqueurs seem to be giving way to an expanding, carefully chosen selection – driven, I’m told, by Dan Rayner, archaeologist and local amateur brewing champ.

Dan wasn’t there for the Schloss Shanahan pre-Christmas raid. But the haul, including today’s line up of six Monteith’s beers, should keep this column going for a few months. It’s worth a visit.
Like Australia’s Matilda Bay (Fosters) and James Squire (Lion Nathan) Monteith’s belongs to a large brewer but still makes outstanding and idiosyncratic styles from its breweries in Greymouth, Timaru and Auckland.

We found six Monteith’s brews at Plonk and paid a fair price of $3.15 for each 330ml bottle.

Radler smells and tastes like shandy, thanks to a dash of lemon juice, but it’s an undiluted 5 per cent alcohol and, though sweet, tastes zesty and fresh. Summer Ale, a spiced beer has a distinct note of ginger, offset by touch of honey.

Pilsner, a beautifully balanced lager, is roughly in the ‘Bohemian’ style with similar aromatic hops, if not as overtly bitter. The gentle, caramel-and- malt Original Ale with its mild hops bitterness is a treat.
-Celtic Red attacks pleasantly with strong, roasted-malt and smoky flavours – a good warm up for the deep, opulent, warm Doppelbock Winter Ale. Rich, chocolaty Hearty Black Beer completes the range.

Celtic Red attacks pleasantly with strong, roasted-malt and smoky flavours – a good warm up for the deep, opulent, warm Doppelbock Winter Ale. Rich, chocolaty Hearty Black Beer completes the range.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2008

Wine review — McKellar Ridge, Jacob’s Creek Steingarten, Stefano Lubiano and Tower

McKellar Ridge Canberra District Shiraz Viognier 2006 $22-$24
Brian and Janet Johnston’s McKellar Ridge is a tiny operation focusing on small parcels of high quality Canberra district fruit. The wines have always been good. But this latest release, to my taste, does away with a few little blemishes that kept earlier vintages out of the top ranks. In the past I thought that the oak intruded slightly on what were otherwise very fine-boned wines. But what we see in the 2006 is the pure, lovely fragrance and flavour and supple, smooth texture of cool-grown shiraz. Brian sourced the grapes from Martin Susans’ Murrumbateman vineyard and made the wine using traditional techniques. See www.mckellarridgewines.com.au

Jacob’s Creek Steingarten Riesling 2005 $28
In 1962 Orlando’s Colin Gramp planted the Steingarten vineyard on a high, exposed ridge a few kilometres to the east of his family’s historic homestead on Jacob’s Creek. The vineyard struggled but produced a number of long-lived rieslings over the years.  By the time Steingarten shifted from Orlando to Jacob’s Creek branding a couple of years back, it had become a blend of material from Steingarten and other nearby vineyards. The just-released 2005 seems to mark a style shift for Steingarten – away from austerity and towards softness and more easy drinkability when young. The makers have done this beautifully. It’s a magnificent, delicate drop now but has very long-term cellaring potential, too.

Stefano Lubiano Tasmania Pinot Noir 2005 $52
Tower Tasmania Pinot Noir $58

Some time back I reviewed Stefano Lubiano’s Primavera Pinot Noir – as the name suggests a fresh and youthful expression of the variety. This is a more sophisticated drop, showing the depth of a superior vintage with ripe varietal definition, layered, soft tannin structure and complexity. It’s a wine that intrigues and holds your interest from first sip til last and ought to develop with five or six years bottle age. Hunter based Tower, founded by the late Len Evans, makes regional specialties from around Australia. I think Len would’ve loved this, the last vintage fermented at Tower before his death last August. Tassie’s cool climate shows in the wine’s intense, delicate flavour and very fine-boned structure.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2008

Gippsland’s little gem

If you’re motoring through Gippsland, Victoria, chances are you’ll be on the Princes Highway – just a skip over the mountains from Cooma via the Snowy Mountains and Cann River Highways.

Continue west past Lakes Entrance and Bairnsdale and it’s not far to Morwell – and from there it’s only half an hour south, on the Strzlecki Highway, to the village of Mirboo North, home of the Grand Ridge Brewery.

This is one of our great and enduring microbreweries, founded as the Strzlecki Brewery before taking on its current name after Eric Walters and others bought it from the receivers in the late eighties.

Beginning with a high hops Pilsen style, Eric and the team developed, over time, a wide spectrum of beer style from low alcohol lager to11-per-cent alcohol ales, modelled on Belgian classics.

While you can buy bottled versions of the beer, it’s at its best from tap in the brewery bar (open 7 days) or attached restaurant (lunch and dinner Thursday to Monday).

On our flying visit we opted for the ‘paddle’ – a timber serving tray with inset shot glasses of six of the key brews: Natural Blonde, Mighty Light, Brewers Pilsner, Gippsland Gold, Moonlight and Black and Tan – a classy line up to be reviewed over the next few weeks.

Grand Ridge Brewery Natural Blonde Wheat Beer 330ml $3.50
Grand Ridge natural blonde has an advantage over the original Belgian coriander and orange-peel infused wheat ales. Being locally brewed it’s fresher – especially from tap at the Gippsland brewery. It’s a delight — from the pale lemon, cloudy colour to the stiff, fine head to the creamy texture to the bracing, lemon-fresh tang.

Grand Ridge Brewery Moonlight Midstrength Ale 330ml $3.50
With beer flavour tends to rise and fall with the alcohol content, making it difficult to brew tasty low and mid-strength products. This English nut-brown ale style meets the challenge with its plush toffee and malt flavours, creamy, soft mid palate and beautifully judged Golding hops that provide subtle flavour and a balancing bitterness.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2008

Wine review — Pol Roger, La Chablisienne, Madfish, Clos Pierre & PHI

Pol Roger Champagne Brut NV $54-$65 & Vintage 1998 $80-$100
As the world’s most famous wine region struggles to meet demand for its product – around 330 million bottles annually – the Christmas scene remains wonderfully competitive, if volatile. Last week, for example, the value buys, to my taste, were Pol Roger NV and 1998 vintage at  $53.90 and $79.90 respectively, down $10 to $20 a bottle on their regular prices. The NV is slightly deeper coloured than the vintage version, with round, soft palate and delicate, crisp finish. The pale, bright-coloured 1998, though, captures all of Champagne’s magic – a unique combination of intense, delicate flavour, balancing pinot noir’s power and backbone with chardonnay’s ethereal elegance.

La Chablisienne Chablis 2005 $29.99
& Chablis Premier Cru Cote de Lechet 2002 $47.99

Like the Champagne region, Chablis offers just one, highly distinctive regional specialty. In Champagne, at a cold 49-degrees north, it’s delicate bubblies made from pinot and chardonnay; in Chablis, just two degrees to the south it’s bone-dry, delicate chardonnay – perhaps the most recognisable chardonnay in the world. It’s the northernmost point of Burgundy but, thankfully, its whites don’t fetch the heady prices of those made to the south. In this pair from the La Chablisienne cooperative we see two brilliant variations on the regional theme – the fresh, textbook-Chablis 2005 and the slowly maturing, deeper, more complex version from the Cote de Lechet vineyard. Imported by Coles and available at 1st Choice and Vintage Cellars.

Madfish Western Australia Pinot Noir 2006 $19
Clos Pierre Reserve Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $29.99
PHI Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $54

It’s not hard to find a good Aussie pinot these days. And it’s such a wonderful Christmas drink. But the starting price for good examples is a little higher than it is for shiraz or cabernet. Two sub-$20 versions that measure up are DeBortoli Windy Peak Victoria 2007, and a tad more mature, Madfish WA 2006 (available only at cellar door). For another $10, Close Pierre Reserve 2006, made for Woolies’ Dan Murphy outlets by Burgundian Pierre Naigeon, is twice as good, in my opinion, and an absolute bargain. Kooyong Mornington Peninsular Estate 2005 is exciting at around $40 and PHI 2006 at $54 is one that grows in interest with every sip.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2007

Chateau Shanahan tastes Oz and Kiwi pinots

With Christmas drinking in mind, the Chateau Shanahan team recently tasted a range of pinot noirs. It’s a great variety. And because it’s medium bodied, soft and supple, it suits the foods we eat at Christmas – ham, pork, turkey and even seafood, especially the more robust kinds like lobster and salmon.

Our samples came unsolicited from wine companies. And we topped up the range with purchases from Canberra retail stores. What I offer below is a warts and all view of what we tasted.

As you can see there’s a bias towards more expensive wine – but, hey, it’s Christmas. And, as well, pinot’s a little more expensive than other varieties at all quality levels because it costs more to make. That said, there are lovely examples at under $20, even if the real magic kicks in at around $30 – after that the sky’s the limit.

We limited our tasting to wines from Australia and New Zealand – poor Burgundy, home of pinot – didn’t get a look in. But even so, we covered only a fraction of the good pinots now on offer, such are the rich pickings with this variety.

The recommended wines should be readily available at fine wine outlets around Canberra. And one tip – for the greatest enjoyment try to keep the serving temperature at around eighteen degrees as Aussie room temperature is too much for pinot. Merry Christmas.

Long Flat Destinations Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $12-$16
Although overshadowed, understandably, by the big guns in our tasting, we’d still rate Long Flat as providing only fair value. There’s some pinot flavour and structure, but it’s not going to turn pinot agnostics into true believers.

Little Rebel Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $18
This was our first encounter with Little Rebel and we’ll not be rushing back for another.

De Bortoli Windy Peak Victoria Pinot Noir 2007 $15-$19
Yes, it is still 2007 and here we are drinking wines that were on the vine a few months back. Despite its youth, there’s some nice, ripe varietal flavour here and it provides good value towards the lower end of the price range. I suspect in another six months ageing it’ll have moved into a more savoury pinot mode.

Madfish Western Australia Pinot Noir 2006 $19
This is Howard Park’s second label. They sourced the fruit from Denmark and though it’s not classic pinot country, this is an above average effort. It’s fragrant and silky and gives more of the pinot experience than we expected. It’s available only from the cellar door. See www.howardparkwines.com.au

Philip Shaw No. 8 Orange Pinot Noir 2006 $39.95
Pinot needs a cool climate and our best versions tend to come more from high latitudes – like Gippsland, Yarra, Mornington and Tasmania – than high altitudes. Stephen George’s Ashton Hills, from the Adelaide Hills, is an exception and Philip Shaw’s heading that way up at Orange.  This one’s got a beautiful aroma, bits of pinot stalkiness and savouriness and is more about subtlety and structure than volume. Very, very promising (and enjoyable).

Blind River Marlborough Pinot Noir 2006 $39.99
Blind River is in the cool Awatere Valley, to the south of the Wairau Valley, site of Marlborough’s earliest plantings and still its heartland. While this one had some pleasing aromas at first, over time it developed intense and, to our palates, not all that pleasing, acidic, berry flavours. Sorry, but we’re not enthusiastic.

St Huberts Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 about $29
This one didn’t quite click with us and seemed more like a big, warm red wine than subtle, silky pinot. It’s fault free but to us lacked the pinot magic.

Coldstream Hills Yarra Valley Reserve Pinot Noir 2006 about $85
The deep, youthful colour, fruit sweetness, velvety smoothness and beautiful oak seem, at first sniff and sip to align with the hefty price tag. This is unquestionably a wine of substance, complexity and ageing ability. But the caveat we had is one of style. Has this moved too far into a generic red wine style? It impresses for size and weight, but it’s not a style we enjoy drinking.

Coldstream Hills Yarra Valley Amphitheatre Pinot Noir 2006 $90
This is literally a hand made wine – just three barrels having been produced from the A Block of Coldstream’s Amphitheatre vineyard. There’s a juicy, velvety, seamless richness and texture to it and it will clearly age for many years. But as for the ‘Reserve’ Coldstream above, it’s not a style that’d we’d buy for our own cellar, nor one that we want to drink now.

Clos Pierre Yarra Valley Reserve Pinot Noir 2006 $29.99
Burgundian winemaker, Pierre Naigeon, owns this brand but sells it exclusively to the Woolworths’ owned Dan Murphy chain. He makes the wine at De Bortoli’s Yarra winery. It was a sleeper in our tasting, appealing, at first for its lighter colour (ah, yes, that’s pinot), pleasant fragrance subtle, easy palate. With time the fruit sweetness became more accentuated but held in check by fine, drying tannins. It grew in interest over the course of the tasting and still impressed two days later. This is a bargain and an excellent introduction to pinot at a fair price.

Stonier Mornington Peninsula Pinot Noir 2006 $26
In our tasting the two Stonier wines stood out at first for their comparatively pale colours – not a bad sign in pinot, especially when, as this wine did, it’s followed by varietal perfume and flavour and fine, silky, supple texture. This is a very attractive wine indeed and the price is about right.

Stonier Mornington Peninsula Windmill Vineyard Pinot Noir 2005 $60
Geraldine McFaul made this distinctive, single-vineyard wine using a high proportion of whole bunches, including stalks, in the ferment. There’s a distinct stalky note to the aroma and palate. But that’s only one of many parts in this exceptionally complex, fine, delicate and irresistible pinot.

Wither Hills Marlborough Pinot Noir 2005 and 206 $41
Founder Brent Marris recently moved on, leaving winemaking in the hands of his long-term offsider, Ben Glover.  Ben says that he uses ‘feral yeast strains’ for his ferments and perhaps this is responsible for the distinctly funky edge to the Wither Hills pinots. They’re on the robust side of pinot with beautifully ripe but pure varietal character. They appeal strongly. Both vintages can be found on Canberra retail shelves. We have a slight leaning to the 2005.

Carrick Central Otago Pinot Noir 2005 $63.69
Steve Green’s Carrick winery rubs shoulders with two of Central Otago’s other pinot stars, Felton Road and Mt Difficulty. It’s been a Chateau Shanahan favourite since our first visit in 2003 and the 2005 strengthens our regard for it. It covers a fair bit of pinot’s spectrum with musky, floral high notes, a stalky edge and more-ish savouriness.

Neudorf Nelson Pinot Noir 2005 $44.99
Nelson’s at about the same latitude as Marlborough, at the top of New Zealand’s south island, and a couple of hours’ drive to the west. It’s hop-growing country, but for several decades now Tim and Judy Finn have been producing very fine chardonnay and pinot noir. From experience the pinots age very well, but the current-release 2005 has terrific drink-now appeal, too.

Tower Estate Tasmania Pinot Noir 2006 $58
Hunter based Tower, founded by the late Len Evans, makes regional specialties from around Australia. I think Len would’ve loved this, the last vintage fermented at Tower before his death last August. Tassie’s cool climate shows in the wine’s intense, delicate flavour and very fine-boned structure.

PHI Lusatia Park Vineyard Yarra Valley Pinot Noir 2006 $54
This is the second vintage from a joint venture between the De Bortoli and Shelmerdine families. Fruit comes from Stephen Shelmerdine’s Lusatia Park vineyard, high in the south east of the Yarra Valley. And Steve Webber makes the wine at De Bortoli Yarra Valley winery. This was one of the standouts of our tasting, a seductive drop.

Kooyong Mornington Peninsula Estate Pinot Noir 2005 $39.49
This one passed the bottle test at The Journeyman Restaurant, Berrima, on election night gliding down beautifully with pork belly. A few weeks later at our masked tasting it showed pure class – and at this price provides great value in the pinot stakes.

Copyright © Chris Shanahand 2007

Beer review — Peroni & Floris

Peroni Nastro Azzurro 330ml-6pack $18.99
Unlike some so-called imports, Italy’s Peroni beer, now part of SABMiller but, is still brewed in Italy and maintains a distinctive style. When I think of Italy, I think of products like Campari with its sweet core and tart, dry finish. Peroni is like this – lager in style but deliciously tangy and dry.

Floris Chocolat 330ml $5.90
Belgium’s great specialties – wheat ale and chocolate – come together in this exotic brew. It’s a modest 4.2 per cent alcohol and combines the refreshing qualities of beer with the seductive aroma and taste of chocolate. It’s an oddity for sure, but one that might make good company for the Christmas pud.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2007

Wine review — Coriole, Hewitson & Lustau

Coriole McLaren Vale Sangiovese 2006 $20 and Fiano 2007 $23
Coriole’s Mark Lloyd planted sangiovese in 1985, a decade or so after Carlo Corino in Mudgee, but well ahead of a wider move to Italian varieties in Australia. The Coriole style has evolved considerably over the years and shows great maturity in this 2006. It’s a terrific expression of the variety, capturing its exotic ripe-cherry aroma and taut, sinewy structure. This is a savoury, tasty world away from the Aussie, oaky, fruit bomb style. And after a visit to VinItaly, Verona, in 2001, Mark planted the white fiano variety, from Campagna. It manages to be savoury, tart, lush and dry – all in the same delicious mouthful.

Hewitson Barossa Valley Miss Harry 2006 $22
Like the Coriole Sangiovese reviewed above, but for different reasons, Dean Hewitson’s Miss Harry makes a great match for Christmas ham and Turkey. Where the Coriole wine focuses on savouriness and fine, drying tannins, Miss Harry is in the soft, Barossa mould. She has some of the lifted, ripe aromatics of grenache, tempered by earthy shiraz and spicy mourvedre – giving an overall earthiness to the aroma and generous flavour. But even at 14.5 per cent alcohol, she’s not hot or astringent as the fruit’s rich enough to handle it. Dean says he sourced the fruit from dry-grown old vines, some dating from the nineteenth century.

Lustau Manzanilla Papirusa Sherry 375ml $14.99
Manzanilla, the palest, most delicate of the flor fino sherry family, comes from the Spanish seaside town of Sanlucar de Barameda. The humid environment encourages an extra thickness in the film of yeast cells (flor) on the surface of the sherry maturing in barrels. While this layer contributes distinctive ‘sherry’ character, the extra thickness protects the wine from air and accounts for the dazzling freshness of good Manzanilla – like this one. There’s a slight salty tang, a subtle, pungent ‘sherry’ note and a bone-dry, delicate, mouth-watering finish. At just 15.5 per cent alcohol it’s a superb aperitif and great with Christmas seafood.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2007

Snapshot of the Aussie wine industry

As we move towards vintage 2008 Australia’s wine industry is in dramatically different shape than it was last year.

In spring 2006 as vines budded for the 2007 vintage, I was in the Barossa and Langhorne Creek hearing daily of cancelled grape contracts as large winemakers, with storage tanks full, anticipated a third consecutive bumper grape harvest.

Then, out of the blue, frost struck eastern Australia, decimating the embryonic 2007 crop. Drought wrought further damage and, in the end, vignerons crushed 1.4 million tonnes of grapes – half a million tonnes down on the 1.9 million tonnes each of 2005 and 2006.

The oversupply became a shortage overnight. And as the drought continued, vintage 2008 seemed almost certain to be even smaller 2007’s.

At a wine industry conference in Melbourne last month the Australian Wine and Brandy Corporation’s Laurie Stanford projected the 2008 harvest at 1.22 million tonnes and predicted an even smaller crop in 2009.

By my estimate the projected 2008 harvested might leave our winemakers about half a million tonnes short of replacing current consumption of Australian wine (1.1 million tonnes for exports; 0.6 million tonnes domestic).

So, with exports still bubbling along and domestic consumption growing modestly, where does that leave Aussie wine drinkers? Will we go without? Will we have to pay more?

The answers you get depend on whom you ask.

Tony Leon, General Manager of the Woolworths owned Dan Murphy brand, was in Perth opening the chain’s seventy-third outlet when I called. A projected turnover of $1.5 billion this year makes Dan the dominant force in Aussie liquor retailing, and a good litmus for the market.

Leon says we won’t go dry, but things will change. One way or another, he reckons, there’ll always be wines at the prices people want. But the day of the $1.99 and $2.99 cleanskin are over. These will jump by $1 to $2 a bottle.

And he believes that strong premium brands are likely to increase in price. For example, the Penfolds Bin Range reds, probably won’t be seen at under $20 next year – and certainly not at the $15 and $16 we enjoyed in 2007.

While Leon predicts that import volumes will increase substantially in percentage terms, their absolute volume will be small. ‘They won’t move the needle’, he said. But he also expects to see imports in some wine casks.

He expects our insatiable thirst for sauvignon blanc to continue into 2008. And to meet demand the next cleanskins of this variety will be from Chile and France – as there’s none to be had in Australia’s bulk market.

And what wines will we want most in 2008? In red wine, says Tony, we want straight shiraz or straight cabernet sauvignon. But we’re developing a taste for pinot noir, but the rapid growth in demand is off a small base.

Similarly there’s a buzz about the white pinot gris. It could grow from about one per cent to three per cent of white wine sales.

Canberra’s Jim Murphy, of Jim Murphy’s Market and Airport cellars, expects that the strong Australian dollar will curb imports to the USA and that this, in turn, could take the pressure off domestic supplies.

Jim says that there have been no price rises yet in the important $5-$10 a bottle range nor in the $15-$30 sparkling wine range – a sweet spot for the Christmas trade. With Christmas deals now done and dusted this suggests stable prices until the New Year.

He adds that there are enough small and medium wineries now to allow him to pick and choose what to stock.

A closer look at the grape supply figures, though, suggests where the price pressures might come in the new year, even if they’re not showing yet.

The real pain for growers is in the Murray Darling basin, source of something like seventy per cent of our wine grapes. These are the backbone of our cask industry (representing a little under half of domestic wine sales), and also of our under-$10 bottled wine market and much of our export push to date.

Most of next year’s grape shortfall will be because of water shortages in the basin. This year, for example, South Australia capped water allocations at 16 per cent, rising to 22 per cent in December.

The ABC reported a few weeks back that ‘many growers say that is not enough’. It went on to report that one Barmera grower vowed to use 40 per cent and said, ‘God help whoever comes out here on my property to tell me you’re not going to do that.’

Meanwhile that River Murray shortage is forcing larger wine companies to change focus. We may well see imported wine in wine casks. And Hardy Wine Company’s Sheralee Davies told me that their could be some rationalisation of their cask products and that there’d be a global push on top end and regional products – from the $15 Oomoo McLaren Vale range to flagships like the $60 Eileen Hardy Chardonnay and $100 Thomas Hardy Cabernet Sauvignon.

Premium growing regions, it seems, won’t be as badly hit as the Riverland and many may deliver normal crops, thanks to late but effective spring rains.

In Canberra, Tim Kirk of Clonakilla, Murrumbateman, and Jim Lumbers of Lerida Estate, say that fruit set suggests a healthy vintage. And Anne Caine, President of the Canberra District Wine Industry Association, reports good fruit set across the district, thanks to June rain and recent follow up falls.

What we’ll also begin to see increasingly in 2008 and beyond is the effects of concerns about global warming.

Increasingly, the industry will measure its carbon footprint and take steps to reduce it. This will be driven partly by international retailers, partly by legislators, partly by consumers and partly by producers themselves.

We’ve already seen the introduction by Foster’s of premium wine in PET bottles into the Canadian market and to a lesser extent in Australia. At one-tenth the weight of glass these deliver major savings in transport and recycling costs.

And Hardy’s has introduced one-litre tetra packs into its UK Banrock Station range. These will hit Australian shelves next year.

At the recent Wine Industry Outlook Conference, delegates learned of a new carbon-footprint tool developed by Australian company, Provisor. Wineries from Australia and other countries have agreed to adopt the tool as a means to giving standardized assessments across the industry.

What we can say for 2008 and beyond is that we won’t go dry; we’ll drink more imports; we’ll see a lift in basic wine quality; competition will keep a lid on prices, as it always does; and we’ll see a rapid greening of the industry – partly to survive, partly to gain competitive advantage and partly in response to consumer and government demands.

Copyright © Chris Shanahan 2007